Markets enter panic mode on headlines indicating United States (US) President Donald Trump has become more inclined to strike Iran's nuclear facilities, according to senior White House officials, as cited by Fox News.
EUR/USD slipped below the key 1.1500 level on Monday, retreating from recent highs as geopolitical risks drove demand for the US Dollar.
The British Pound (GBP) weakens against the Japanese Yen (JPY) on Tuesday, slipping lower as a resilient US Dollar (USD) and a steady Yen weigh on the Pound’s appeal.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Crude Oil prices rose back into near-term highs on Tuesday, pushed higher by continued escalations in the Israel-Iran conflict.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) lost some ground on Tuesday, declining below 42,500 as equity markets roil beneath the weight of the burgeoning Israel-Iran conflict.
Gold prices retreated below the $3,400 level on Tuesday despite deteriorating risk appetite as overall US Dollar (USD) strength drove the yellow metal lower. Nevertheless, the escalation of the Israel–Iran conflict would likely underpin the precious metal due to its safe-haven appeal.
The Euro (EUR) is pulling back against the Japanese Yen (JPY) on Tuesday after hitting a year-to-date high and its strongest level since July.
Spot Gold set a weekly low of $3,366.25 on Tuesday, bouncing from the level yet in the American session.
United States (US) President Donald Trump is on the wires claiming the US has control of the skies over Iran through his social media platform, Truth Social.
The Japanese Yen (JPY) is weakening against the US Dollar (USD) for the third consecutive day on Tuesday, as the Greenback remained firm amid lingering Middle East tensions and the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) status quo policy stance.
The pair is falling back toward 0.6500 on Tuesday as traders digest mixed US Retail Sales data, monitor rising geopolitical tensions, and prepare for Wednesday's Federal Reserve (Fed) policy decision and Summary of Economic Projections.
European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said on Tuesday that trade talks between the European Union (EU) and the United States (US) are complex but added that they are advancing.
The GBP/USD tumbled below the 1.3500 figure for the first time in the week, down over 0.39%, as tensions in the Middle East remained high, with news sources revealing that the United States (US) is weighing whether to join Israel in its confrontation with Iran.
European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker Francois Villeroy de Galhau said on Tuesday that they are in a good position on interest rate policy but noted that there is now more uncertainty following the Iran-Israel conflict.
The Euro (EUR) weakens against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday, with the EUR/USD pair treading water as traders digest a steady Greenback despite disappointing Retail Sales data and ongoing geopolitical tensions stemming from the Iran-Israel conflict.
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is holding its ground against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday, with USD/CAD moving sideways near 1.3575.
United States Business Inventories in line with expectations (0%) in April
United States NAHB Housing Market Index below forecasts (36) in June: Actual (32)
Industrial Production in the United States (US) contracted by 0.2% on a monthly basis in May, the data published by the Federal Reserve showed on Tuesday. This reading followed the 0.1% growth recorded in April and came in worse than the market expectation for an expansion of 0.1%.
United States Capacity Utilization below expectations (77.7%) in May: Actual (77.4%)
United States Industrial Production (MoM) came in at -0.2%, below expectations (0.1%) in May
The Indian Rupee (INR) weakens against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday, giving up Monday’s modest rebound as heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, stronger Crude Oil prices, and a resilient Greenback dampen sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) key interest rate decision.
United States Redbook Index (YoY) rose from previous 4.7% to 5.2% in June 13
Retail Sales in the United States (US) declined by 0.9% in May to $715.4 billion, the US Census Bureau announced on Tuesday. This reading followed the 1.5% decrease (revised from +0.1%) recorded in April and came in worse than the market expectation for a contraction of 0.7%.
Canada Canadian Portfolio Investment in Foreign Securities fell from previous $15.63B to $4.1B in April
United States Import Price Index (YoY) climbed from previous 0.1% to 0.2% in May
United States Import Price Index (MoM) above expectations (-0.2%) in May: Actual (0%)
Canada Foreign Portfolio Investment in Canadian Securities came in at $-0.01B, above forecasts ($-2.94B) in April
United States Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM) came in at -0.3% below forecasts (0.1%) in May
United States Retail Sales (YoY) dipped from previous 5.2% to 3.3% in May
United States Export Price Index (YoY) down to 1.7% in May from previous 2%
United States Retail Sales (MoM) below expectations (-0.7%) in May: Actual (-0.9%)
United States Export Price Index (MoM) below forecasts (-0.2%) in May: Actual (-0.9%)
Japanese Yen (JPY) is entering Tuesday’s NA session unchanged vs. the US Dollar (USD), having faded its marginal BoJ-driven gain following the central bank’s policy decision, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note.
Pound Sterling (GBP) is soft, down a modest 0.2% vs. the US Dollar (USD) but underperforming all of the G10 currencies in relatively quiet trade, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note.
Euro (EUR) is quietly trading within an incredibly tight range, consolidating in the mid-1.15s just below its recent multi-year highs, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note.
Euro buyers appeared on Monday to keep downside attempts limited at the 0.8500 area and the EUR/GBP’s immediate bullish trend intact.
Gold price (XAU/USD) trades 0.4% higher to near $3,400 during European trading hours on Tuesday. The yellow metal edges up as demand for safe-haven assets remains firm amid conflicts in the Middle East.
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is a mild outperformer on the session, catching a modest bid alongside the Australian Dollar (AUD) and New Zealand Dollar (NZD), Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note.
Gold moves higher against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday, trading around $3,395 at the time of writing, bolstered by an escalation in the Israel-Iran conflict and rising safe-haven demand.
The US Dollar (USD) is trading narrowly mixed amid subdued FX turnover, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note.
The US Dollar is trading with minor gains against the Japanese Yen on Tuesday, on track to complete a three-day winning streak.
US stock index futures face a sharp selling pressure during European trading hours on Tuesday.
The Australian Dollar (AUD) edges higher against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday, with the AUD/USD pair holding comfortably within Monday’s trading range.
US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade in a range between 7.1750 and 7.1950 against the Chinese Yuan (CNH). USD traded in a quiet manner last Friday. USD has likely moved into a 7.1620/7.2200 range trading phase, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Last night, Republican senators presented their version of the 'Big Beautiful Bill', which includes a number of changes. The proposed changes to Section 899 are likely to be particularly relevant for the US Dollar (USD), Commerzbank's FX analyst Michael Pfister notes.
There is a chance for US Dollar (USD) to rise above 145.00 against Japanese Yen (JPY); the major resistance at 145.50 is unlikely to come under threat. In the longer run, USD is likely to trade in a range between 143.00 and 145.50, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
European natural Gas prices rose to their highest level since early April on Monday, after jumping by 4.8% last Friday, ING's commodity experts Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note.
In latest post on his social media platform on Tuesday, Truth Social, US President Donald Trump said: "I have not reached out to Iran for “Peace Talks” in any way, shape, or form. This is just more HIGHLY FABRICATED, FAKE NEWS! If they want to talk, they know how to reach me.
The Pound extended its reversal from Monday’s high at 196.85 after the Bank of Japan released its monetary policy decision on Tuesday, but, so far, the pair has remained steady above last week’s highs at 196.00.
Oil prices are rising again after President Donald Trump called for the evacuation of Tehran, ING's commodity experts Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note.
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is likely to consolidate in a range of 0.6025/0.6085. In the longer run, upward momentum is increasing, but NZD must first close above 0.6095 before a move to 0.6135 can be expected, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
The S&P 500 is testing the resilience of its uptrend after rebounding from a key support level near 5960pts, with momentum indicators suggesting caution, Société Générale's FX analysts note.
US Dollar (USD) continued to trade near recent lows as markets navigate higher oil prices owing to geopolitical tensions, tariff uncertainties and central bank meetings this week. Dollar Index (DXY) was last at 98.17 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
EUR/JPY extends gains after breaking out of a multi-month range, supported by bullish momentum and stable technical indicators, Société Générale's FX analysts note.
This morning, the Bank of Japan left its key interest rate unchanged at 0.5%. This decision was anticipated by both economists and the market, and according to the BoJ, it was reached unanimously, Commerzbank's FX analyst Volkmar Baur notes.
Silver prices (XAG/USD) rose on Tuesday, according to FXStreet data.
USD/CAD continues to lose ground for the fourth successive session, trading around 1.3560 during the European hours on Tuesday.
US President Donald Trump said on Tuesday, “the European Union (EU) is not yet offering a fair deal.”
Silver consolidates above $36.00 with the upside trend intact.Risk-off markets and higher demand for safe havens are supportive of precious metals.XAG/USD is forming a potential Bullish Flag.Silver (XAG/USD) is on a downside correction from all-time highs, near $37.00 hit on Early June.
Australian Dollar (AUD) could retest the 0.6550 level against US Dollar (USD) before a more sustained and deeper pullback is likely. In the longer run, AUD appears to have moved into a range-trading phase between 0.6430 and 0.6550, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
The headline German ZEW Economic Sentiment Index jumped to 47.5 in June from 25.2 in May, beating the market forecast of 35 by a wide margin.
Eurozone ZEW Survey – Economic Sentiment came in at 35.3, above expectations (23.5) in June
Germany ZEW Survey – Economic Sentiment above forecasts (35) in June: Actual (47.5)
European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker Yannis Stournaras said on Tuesday, “any further rate cuts will depend on data.”
Germany ZEW Survey – Current Situation above expectations (-74) in June: Actual (-72)
Gold is moving higher again as Trump’s Tehran warning has sparked haven buying. Prices rose above $3,400/oz in early Asian trading on Tuesday after a 1.4% slide on Monday – the biggest one day decline in a month, ING's commodity experts Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note.
In its monthly oil market report published on Tuesday, the International Energy Agency (IEA) noted that “in reference to Israel-Iran conflict, in the absence of major disruption, oil markets in 2025 look well supplied.”
The Japanese Yen (JPY) move is fairly muted, rising against the dollar to 144.46 (vs 145 previously) then staying range-bound, and JGB futures dropped around 0.1% after the Bank of Japan's decision to keep its policy rate at 0.5% and to slow the JGB tapering from April 2026, ING's FX analyst Frances
Pound Sterling (GBP) is expected to trade in a sideways range of 1.3540/1.3620. In the longer run, GBP must first close above 1.3640 before a move to 1.3700 can be expected, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
USD/JPY rose as Trump and PM Ishiba did not agree to a trade deal, while slightsigns of easing geopolitical tensions also saw some unwinding of JPY longs while market expectation for BoJ to stand pat kept the pair broadly supported.
The situation in Israel and Iran has shown few signs of de-escalation, and while that is offering intermittent support to the dollar, it has so far failed to generate a major rebound in the greenback, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
Momentum indicators remain flattish; Euro (EUR) is expected to trade in a range against US Dollar (USD), likely between 1.1510 and 1.1605.
EUR/USD price action is so far endorsing our call that markets are not ready to take the pair much above 1.160 just yet.
Silver price (XAG/USD) moves higher to near $36.50 during European trading hours on Tuesday. The white metal trades firmly as the aerial war between Israel and Iran has increased demand for safe-haven assets, such as Silver.
AUD/JPY extends its gains for the second consecutive day, trading around 94.60 during the European hours on Tuesday. As per the technical analysis of the daily chart, the currency cross remains within an ascending channel pattern, confirming a sustained bullish bias.
Fears of an escalating war between Israel and Iran are boosting demand for safe havens on Tuesday, but the US Dollar is failing to draw any significant support from the context.
The Pound Sterling (GBP) trades in a limited range around 1.3565 against the US Dollar (USD) during European trading hours on Tuesday. The GBP/USD pair consolidates as the US Dollar (USD) turns sideways, while investors seek fresh cues on the future of the conflict between Israel and Iran.
Here is what you need to know on Tuesday, June 17:
EUR/JPY halts its winning streak that began on June 5, trading around 167.20 during the early European hours on Tuesday. Earlier in the Asian session, the pair reached 167.59, the highest level since July 2024.
Crude prices have been capped at the $72.00 level but remain 12% above May's range.Fears of escalating tensions between Israel and Iran are keeping downside attempts limited.Russia's Deputy Prime Minister, Novak, is pressuring the OPEC+ to reconsider output hikes.
The NZD/USD pair attracts some dip-buyers near the 0.6045 area on Tuesday and stalls the previous day's late pullback from its highest level since October 2024.
The EUR/USD pair is trading practically flat, halfway through the 1.1500 range on Tuesday.
The EUR/GBP cross extends its upside to near 0.8520 during the early European trading hours on Tuesday. The Euro (EUR) strengthens against the Pound Sterling (GBP) as traders expect the European Central Bank (ECB) to pause its easing cycle to assess the impact of new US tariffs.
Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo speaks at a press conference on Tuesday, explaining the Bank’s decision to hold the interest rate at 0.5% for the third straight meeting.
FX option expiries for Jun 17 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time vi a DTCC can be found below.
The USD/CHF pair softens to around 0.8135 during the early European session on Tuesday. The persistent geopolitical risks in the Middle East provide some support to the Swiss Franc (CHF) against the US Dollar (USD). Traders brace for the US Retail Sales data for May, which is due later on Tuesday.
The conflict between Israel and Iran has entered its fifth day despite world calls for negotiation and de-escalation. The Israeli military said on Tuesday that they identified missiles launched from Iran toward Israel.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil price advances on Tuesday, early in the European session. WTI trades at $70.58 per barrel, up from Monday’s close at $70.06.
The USD/CAD pair wobbles inside Monday’s trading range around 1.3575 during the early European trading session on Tuesday. The Loonie pair trades sideways as investors await the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy announcement on Wednesday.
US President Donald Trump's decision to leave the G-7 conference in Canada was reportedly due to escalating tensions in the Middle East, raising questions about potential US involvement. However, Trump said that the reason why he went back to Washington D.C. is much bigger than that.
EUR/USD holds ground for the second successive session, trading around 1.1560 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The pair maintains its position near 1.1631, the highest since October 2021, reached on June 12.
The GBP/JPY pair falls back to near 196.15 during late Asian trading hours on Tuesday after posting a fresh five-month high around 196.85 earlier in the day.
The Indian Rupee (INR) rises to near 85.95 at the open against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday.
The US Dollar Index (DXY), an index of the value of the US Dollar (USD) measured against a basket of six world currencies, trades with mild losses near 98.10 during the early European session on Tuesday.
The GBP/USD pair lacks any firm intraday directional bias and oscillates in a narrow trading band, above mid-1.3500s during the Asian session on Tuesday.
Gold prices rose in India on Tuesday, according to data compiled by FXStreet.
Silver (XAG/USD) extends its sideways consolidative price move for the third consecutive day and trades below mid-$36.00s during the Asian session on Tuesday.
Gold price (XAU/USD) attracts fresh sellers following an Asian session uptick to levels just above the $3,400 mark and turns lower for the second straight day on Tuesday. A modest US Dollar (USD) uptick is seen as a key factor acting as a headwind for the commodity.
G7 leaders attending a summit in Canada issue a joint statement calling for “de-escalation” on Iran. The G7 statement said that members have been consistently clear that Iran can never have a nuclear weapon.
The AUD/JPY cross trims gains near 94.50 during the Asian trading hours on Tuesday. The Japanese Yen (JPY) strengthens against the Australian Dollar (AUD) after the Bank of Japan (BoJ) interest rate decision. Investors will closely monitor the BoJ Press Conference later on Tuesday.
EUR/JPY continues its winning streak that began on June 5, trading around 167.40 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The pair has marked 167.59, the highest since July 2024.
Japan BoJ Interest Rate Decision in line with forecasts (0.5%)
NZD/USD extends its gains for the second successive session, trading around 0.6060 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. However, the pair moved little after the Food Price Index data was released by Statistics New Zealand.
The Japanese Yen (JPY) remains on the back foot against its American counterpart for the third consecutive day on Tuesday amid expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) could postpone the rate hike to Q1 next year due to uncertainty over US tariff policy.
The Australian Dollar (AUD) declines against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday, retracing its recent gains registered in the previous session. The AUD/USD pair faces challenges as traders adopt caution amid ongoing geopolitical tensions.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $70.60 during the Asian trading hours on Tuesday. The WTI price edges higher amid persistent geopolitical risk in the Middle East.
Japanese Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato said on Tuesday that he has no fixed plan right now to hold further talks with US Treasury Secretary Bessent.
The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) set the USD/CNY central rate for the trading session ahead on Tuesday at 7.1746 as compared to the previous day's fix of 7.1789 and 7.1820 Reuters estimate.
US President Donald Trump and Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba failed to reach a trade agreement on the sidelines of the Group of Seven summit, per Bloomberg.
On Monday, an Israeli attack targeted Iran's state broadcaster, while the head of the United Nations nuclear watchdog reported substantial damage to Iran's largest uranium enrichment facility, and Iran urged the United States (US) to force a ceasefire in the aerial war, per Reuters.
The USD/CAD pair recovers some lost ground to around 1.3580 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The US Dollar strengthens against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) as investors monitor the conflict between Israel and Iran for signs it could escalate into a broader regional conflict.
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney said on Monday that he had agreed with US President Donald Trump that their two nations should try to wrap up a deal on tariffs within 30 days, per Reuters.
GBP/USD continues to churn chart paper on the high end of 40-month peaks, cycling the 1.3600 region as Cable traders enjoy a continued boost. Greenback flows continue to wither across the board on geopolitical headlines, keeping the Pound Sterling buoyed as dual central bank rate calls loom ahead.
US President Donald Trump called for the evacuation of Iran’s capital Tehran on Monday, hours after urging the country's leaders to accept a deal to curb its nuclear program as Israel hinted that attacks would continue, per Bloomberg
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) is widely expected to leave the short-term interest rate unadjusted at 0.5% after the two-day June monetary policy review ends on Tuesday.
The NZD/JPY rallied sharply and posted gains of over 1%, trading at 87.69 after bouncing off daily lows of 86.56, clearing key technical resistance levels, as the pair seems poised to challenge the year-to-date (YTD) high of 89.71.
EUR/USD recovered after posting a loss of 0.25% last Friday, as hostilities between Israel and Iran began, which boosted the Greenback’s appeal.
South Korea Export Price Growth (YoY) declined to -2.4% in May from previous 0.7%
South Korea Import Price Growth (YoY): -5% (May) vs previous -2.3%